Index

This article is a rather comprehensive guide written to help managers, for most parts C-level, to get a hint on the kind of implications you will find when setting up a Lean & Agile Centre of Excellence (LACE). Use it as a checklist in your planning and,

Future Business Institute is all about sharing and develop competence and proven practices for proofing any kind of business for the Future. We do this by evoking and catalyzing the knowledge from the most influential thought leaders in combination with o

Course details Pricing The price is based on the following items: A fee per class and course day held by one senior Safe Program Consultant. A cost price for course material per attendee. A cost price for eco-friendly travel and accommodation expenses whe

Course attendance It is impractical to expect the, often called C-level, executives to participate in all the work included in LPM. Especially administrational, process, and coordination work needs to covered by roles such as Enterprise Architect, Epic Ow

How to make your business stick out Business Driven Development (BDD) is happy to offer a training concept where we will share the responsibility for business outcomes with our clients. Summary The aim of this course is to support the setting-up of Lean P

Actionable Lean Portfolio Management - overview Actionable Lean Portfolio Management - about pricing Actionable Lean Portfolio Management - details

Actionable Product Management - overview Actionable Product Management - about pricing Actionable Product Management - details

Course details Pricing The price is based on the following items: A fee per class and course day held by one senior Safe Program Consultant. A cost price for course material per attendee. A cost price for a certification fee per attendee. Certificates wil

Topics Covered The role of Product Management or Solution Management in the Lean Enterprise Continuously Exploring Markets and Customer need Strategy with Market Segmentation and Market Creation Defining Product Strategy and Vision Creating Roadmaps to Bu

How to deliver what your customers longed for Business Driven Development (BDD) is happy to offer a training concept where we will share the responsibility for business outcomes with our clients. Summary In this four-day course, you will learn the most cr

This evaluation is intended to assess the degree to which participants apply to their daily job objectives and skills learned during training. Please give feedback on the outcome of the course and your learning. Remember that 10% of the learning may come

Great leaders like JFK It has always been important to get people working towards the same goals and of course it still is. The challenge today is it is not enough. We need to Behovstrappan ala Tomas Bla bla bla No need for unions because we are the best

Author, number of pages and last change: Main page

Avaaz https://www.avaaz.org/page/en/about/is a global web movement to bring people-powered politics to decision-making everywhere promoting an ethic of servant leadership.

The Haul from the current business Angry customers Need for improvements Bad product performance Love for the product We know what we got The urgency Feeling needed Dedication to help the customer This is our identity A well known example is the infrastru

https://piplanning.io/ https://piplanning.io/

Author: W. Chan Kim https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/W._Chan_Kim and Renée Mauborgne https://www.amazon.com/Ren%C3%A9e-Mauborgne/e/B001K8CCF2/ref=dp_byline_cont_book_2 Book page on Amazon http://a.co/6GWHyej Assessment This book continues the authors breakin

Books looking interesting but not really evaluated. Title Author Hacking Marketing http://a.co/cA1P5AR Scott Brinker http://chiefmartec.com/ Scrum marketing http://a.co/3yD6ajf James S Wright https://gotimeagile.com/about-us/ Agile Marketing http://a.co/0

These are prioritized book recommendations. The focus is on what can take your business into a prosperous future. To succeed an organisation has to continuously improve its ability to handle any challenge, indeed also unknown challenges. Learning is an es

In the book Customer Winback: How to Recapture Lost Customers - And Keep Them Loyal https://www.amazon.com/dp/0787946672/ref=cm_sw_em_r_mt_dp_U_d5sTEbVY6WF27 by Jill Griffin https://www.amazon.com/Jill-Griffin/e/B001KHHSIY/ref=dp_byline_cont_book_1 and Mi

Alexander Osterwalder https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexander_Osterwalder is co-founder of Strategyzer https://strategyzer.com/ and father of the Business Model Canvas https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_Model_Canvas. This is a great tool when you want

All information of this Knowledge Base should be free for anyone to use privately or professionally. However the information is not intended for any use that could hurt, harm or damage People or Planet. Please feel free to comment! Any criticism or other

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Some kind of Blue, Green and Gray: Show palette http://www.colorhexa.com/5ea1bb RGB: 94, 161, 187 Hex: #5ea1bb

Basic knowledge of Lean, Agile and similar proven systems. There are plenty of books on this topic, just a few listed here. Read if you want to! Title Author Succeeding with Agile http://a.co/6doctpF Mike Cohn Lean Agile Marketing Femi Olajiga https://ww

Email: mats at startbit.se mailto:mats@startbit.se FB: https://www.facebook.com/futbizinstitute/ https://www.facebook.com/futbizinstitute/

Long time between events will make them grow and make them more complex, making us spend more time preparing them, making them even more large and complex. We need to practice on doing hard things in order to develop our skills and outperform our competit

"Culture eats strategy for breakfast" John Kotter used to think a change has to start with a cultural change. After lots of experience he changed his mind and culture is now the last step in his well known eight step process.

https://docs.google.com/drawings/d/sD6PBkFOPOk2-0ufhgS30hQ/image?w=602&h=471&rev=783&ac=1 Image source https://docs.google.com/document/d/18qY43JvQgGZCMHbmEO6AccDRlz0RJje5aQ25cnG5P78/edit?usp=sharing

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Remember references to Blinkist och Gamification for business: Blah Blah Blah: What To Do When Words Don't Work https://www.amazon.com/dp/1591844592/ref=cm_sw_em_r_mt_dp_U_.VMUEbTPV3GD2 by Dan Roam

"Now, Ferdinand, why don't you play with all the other little bulls and butt your head. "I like it better here where I can sit just quietly and smell the flowers"

Ron Bruder https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ron_Bruder is a great leader. He founded Education for Employment http://efe.org/ because he realized young people without future are likely to do evil things like killing people or do terrorist actions. The missio

Use for the article Mirror mirror on the wall, who is the best boss of them all Most of us don’t like feedback, especially if it’s critical. It’s hard not to take it personally when someone trashes our ideas or strategies. Yet much as we loathe it, there

Abstract Just as the Jet Streams, far up in the atmosphere, control the weather on earth, high-level structures of an Enterprise control the workings of an organization. The Enterprise Jet Streams are the strategic prerequisites to form Business Models, V

Abstract As companies strive to build a competitive advantage in a world obsessed with Digitalization, they find that it's all about getting products out the door. Their top people must be able to transform the organization into a more Agile delivery mode

Ok books or authors, but nothing special that will contribute to future proof business. Title Author Outliers Malcolm Gladwell SuperFreakonomics Steven Levitt The Innovators Walter Isaacson The one minute manager Ken Blanchard You are a badass Jen Sincer

For managers responsible for product development Who think their business is to slow and want to reach out to real customers This article about how to involve the marketing guys and get out of the office will explain the difference between speculating in

Total of the weighted outcomes (payoffs) associated http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/associated.html with a decision http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/decision.html, the weights http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/weight.ht

https://docs.google.com/drawings/u/0/d/ssjWeuJWjkRpkiyaZDJ2l5w/image?w=358&h=192&rev=394&ac=1 Picture source https://docs.google.com/document/d/1effK47t_jhxDM-P3q1Ivi5lZJi1jZa25RUSBwsItwfo/edit?usp=sharing

Belongs to Epic: Mobile Trading App Background In order to choose which stocks to invest in, it is important to understand what drives stock prices. Basically, supply and demand control, the more people want to buy a share in proportion to how many people

Belongs to Epic: Legal requirements FFFS 2014:5 Background An undertaking shall have appropriate processes for managing its IT systems. The undertaking shall document the processes and describe the circumstances of importance for managing its IT systems i

Belongs to: Mobile Trading App Background As an investor, one must constantly try to develop and benefit from their and others' experiences. Therefore, it is important to closely follow the movements in the total portfolio to make comparisons with relevan

Belongs to business initiative: Flexible Pension Savings Background Swedish savers pay 2 billion kronor annually in management fees only to the ten largest funds. It's unreasonably high and affects people who either do not know what they pay or those who

Belongs to Epic: Legal requirements FFFS 2014:5 Bakgrund 5§ An undertaking shall have documentation for each individual IT system that is of importance to the operation. These systems shall be specified in a list that is to be regularly reviewed and updat

Belongs business initiative: Flexible Pension Savings Background All pension income is taxed in Sweden as income from employment. The tax rate varies depending on the size of the pension and the municipality in which you are resident. The exact tax size d

Epic Feature Story Flexible Pension Savings Switch Fund Tax Calculation Mobile Trading App My Portfolio View Buy and Sell Legal requirements FFFS 2014:5 Documented Development Process System documentation Development process for team 1 Development process

Hypothesis Statement For people planning for retirement or have retired who thinks it is extremely difficult to understand and manage their alternatives the Flexible Pension Savings is an trustworthy solution that is easy to use. Unlike other alternative

This Excel workbook makes it easy to prepare the forming of new groups in a class. Print and hand out one page for every student. Then it will be easy to ask everyone to, for example, pair up in colour groups. Download the file, adjust as you please depen

Oracle Openworld https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oracle_OpenWorld

Main page

Gislen Software https://www.gislen.com/ was founded in India 1994 by Swedish Mikael Gislen. Their commitment: "We have a strong commitment to our local community to be a positive force and help build a better society. We do this by donating money in parti

Global Footprint Network http://www.footprintnetwork.org/ was founded in 2003 to enable a sustainable future where all people have the opportunity to thrive within the means of one planet.

Graphical profile, in making: https://www.dropbox.com/sh/wmn6n3lpdc1l8gv/AAC2Qja8xYYvJl317AltmMGja?dl=0 https://www.dropbox.com/sh/wmn6n3lpdc1l8gv/AAC2Qja8xYYvJl317AltmMGja?dl=0 OLD: Webbutvecklaren ville ha lite input för att kunna sätta upp en test-site

These authors know what they are talking about and have a long lasting solid ground in their thinking. Most of them have written several books, also worth reading but not mentioned here. Must read! Title Author Start with why http://a.co/ddVqBNQ Simon Sin

simon synek - start with why

A subscription to Harvard Business Review https://hbr.org/ is a great source of knowledge for developing your organisation. The information is sometimes overwhelming and academic. This a selection of rather practical articles that are unique and valuable.

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If you want an organisation that can delivery reliable and stable results, you need to trust the smallest delivery unit - the team. You can't build sustainable performance, if you do not stand on firm ground, and from a delivery perspective that firm grou

The quick start process is both very difficult and simple. The good news is that on a high management level, it is not all that difficult. The bad news is that the devil is in the details and you need someone there that knows about these details. The good

Seeds in line with the thinking of Future Business Institute.

All teams will henceforth expose their data and functionality through service interfaces. Teams must communicate with each other through these interfaces. There will be no other form of interprocess communication allowed: no direct linking, no direct read

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Kanban https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kanban is probably one of the most used tools in the world. You can use it many many different ways and not at all limited to car production or tasks. Use it to improve any kind of flow, for example, the flow of busine

Most popular Labels Recently used Labels All Labels All Labels in alphabetical order

Ash Maurya http://ashmaurya.com/ is a great lean practitioner who has designed the Lean Canvas https://canvanizer.com/new/lean-canvas. This tool can be used to brainstorm ideas and create a common understanding on what to do next.

Author: Jez Humble https://www.amazon.com/Jez-Humble/e/B003SNGS8E/ref=dp_byline_cont_ebooks_1 Book page on Amazon http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00QL5MSF8 Assessment A comprehensive book that describes most of a large-scale Agile-Lean organization. Par

Hypothesis Statement For all our customers who are worried about our slow response and think we have a poor quality in IT-services the legally compliant development process is an marketing opportunity that makes our business trustworthy and long lived. Un

Skriv något Lego! Det finns en massa att läsa: "in 2004 LEGO was on the brink bankruptcy, 11 years later the business was turned around with reported revenue of $5.2 billion How did they do it? By redesigning their business model to stay as relevant to k

Don Reinertsen describes how mandated procedures make Corona-testing in the US less productive. https://tinyurl.com/yb73tt89 https://tinyurl.com/yb73tt89 “Human Good over Following Rules.”

For high level managers Who do not spend much time with the people doing the actual develoment This article about using the right drivers will explain how to work with success factors Unlike traditional ways of controlling projects this way is based on bu

In which scenario do you consume most Pizza? A. You eat one 12-inch pizza. B. You eat two 8-inch pizzas. If you are skilled in math you probably know how to calculate an area of a circle and thereby know that alternative A is correct. There rest of us wou

http://www.uptonitservices.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/Future-Proof-e1397768949292.png

Directory: https://www.dropbox.com/sh/4kc92g9rkhk7cug/AAALJQtuJH0flwuAj7RK5Lgua?dl=0 https://www.dropbox.com/sh/4kc92g9rkhk7cug/AAALJQtuJH0flwuAj7RK5Lgua?dl=0 Three versions for different use. Ex 1 for logo on a pen. The tagline on 3, can be changed depen

This is a video of Time Ferris talking about the functions and benefits of meditation. Around 13:45 he starts explaining the "Loving-Kindness" meditation.

FBILogo.jpg This is the main page for the Knowledge Base of Future Business Institute (FBI), which is a community for information that helps growing a great organisation over time. The intention is to capture good stuff, healthy for People and Planet. Tra

A maturity path is a practical explanation of the ever-ongoing change journey an organizational unit is willing to undertake. The purpose is not for anyone to approve or judge the organizational unit, it is a tool for themselves to enable planning and get

SlicingAllTheWay.png LargeEpicsMakesAMess.png The principles of Product Development Flow by Donald Reinertsen

Are you among Development in general is not linear, which in many cases our intuition is guiding us to believe. As it turns out Measurements connect to overall objectives Trends Number of new measurements during a specific period Efforts in quantified t

Prolog The text above is an excerpt from the book "Moments of Truth" by Jan Carlzon. I think the quoted story describes a typical behavior of a new manager, except that Jan Carlzon was lucky to get honest feedback, and he was also rational to appreciate t

This a set of useful articles found to be practical and inspiring.

Managers often say: "The teams are self-organized!" In the next blink, they control how the teams work by assigning specific roles and responsibilities to team members. Do they know what they want?

Hypothesis Statement For hotshot modern people on the move who hate slow, old looking and bureaucratic solutions the Mobile Trading App is an appealing and top of the line solution that enables trading of all sorts of assets wherever you are. Unlike oth

I'd been selected president after only six years of working life. I was afraid—afraid that I wouldn't' be accepted and afraid that would fail. So I began acting the way I thought a boss should act. I straightened my tie and summoned my staff. One after an

You do not have monopoly on great ideas!

Author: Nathan Furr https://www.insead.edu/faculty-research/faculty/nathan-furr and Paul Ahlstrom http://www.paulahlstrom.com/about-paul/ Book page on Amazon http://a.co/96vvIOw and native book page https://www.nailthenscale.com/ Assessment This book emph

Internal external low level high level

Use the template https://mpeira.atlassian.net/wiki/pages/templates2/viewpagetemplate.action?entityId=60194817&key=FutureProof to create a another newsletter.

For a C-level manager with responsibility for strategic initiative Who desperately want to increase the speed of Innovation in the organisation This article about experience from organisational patterns will explain how separate organisations easily form

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Hopelessly stuck in the old world of Analyzing what the future will look like or Command and Control. Do not read, not even a summary Title Author Inspired Marty Cagan Focus Al Ries Competitive Strategy Michael E. Porter The 10X Rule Grant Cardone Zero to

XXX, (hereafter referred to as the Client) and Business Driven Development AB, Adelgatan 21, 211 22 Malmö Sweden (hereafter referred to as BDD), have today signed the following Partnership agreement regarding advice and guidance from BDD's side to togethe

Kogg wheek´ls pattern.jpg Agile teams have been working on their Product Backlog quality for quite some time. The best guidelines for splitting User Stories have been around for more than ten years: Ways to split User Stories by Lasse Koskela https://web.

Read to develop your personal skills and craftsmanship, this is good stuff Title Author Category The coaching habit Michael Bungay Stanier https://www.bookdepository.com/The-Coaching-Habit-Michael-Bungay-Stanier/9780978440749?redirected=true&utm_medium=Go

Author: Ray Dalio https://www.principles.com/ Book page on Amazon http://a.co/fukjuwl Assessment This is synoptic book that tells the meaning of Lean and Agile without any fancy buzzwords. Important messages To make time for improvement work, you need to

Content

Stacks.jpg Exercise What similarities do you see in the three environments (Protocol, Company and Team) when it comes to the relation between the two layers? Note the most important similarities!

Basic Structure UserStoryMap1.jpg Email example UserStoryMap2.jpg Exercise Select a non existing Product or main Function of your business and create a User Story Map. Follow this steps: Define the major Activities based on customer need and make sure you

The following process is based on the thinking in the Program and Solution Kanban system http://www.scaledagileframework.com/program-and-solution-kanbans/. A scheduled generic series of workshops, starting immediately after each PI Planning https://www.sc

Briefly describe your business. Specify a name, industry or branch, purpose, business idea, mission, the number of customers, and time since the establishment How many persons are directly involved in your business, both operational and development? Numbe

Briefly describe what you deliver. Specify a name, type (service, component, hardware product, software product, etc.), the primary customer (internal or external), purpose (back-office productivity, simplify development, status image, etc.), the number o

agilemarketing.net http://www.agilemarketing.net/ List of Content Marketing Tools http://www.curata.com/blog/content-marketing-tools-ultimate-list/

Maturity paths Cope level Startup level Delivery engine (Mature Agile at scale) Organisation One RTE at 100% One Product Manager at 100% One System Architect at 100% No doubt about which teams are in the train No doubt about who is part of Product Managem

Who knows what will happen in the future? Maybe the investments for future horizons will be total waste. Yes, I do agree on diversity of people and tradition. Some people are more keen on changing for the future, others like to improve the current b

I read a job posting for a Senior Agile Coach where some of the required experience/skills were: Solid personal experience of being a manager yourself Ability to concretize and build models in Powerpoint College/university degree in IT/systems science SAF

SCARF https://qrisnetwork.org/sites/default/files/materials/SCARF%20A%20Brain-based%20Model%20for%20Collaborating%20with%20and%20Influencing%20Others.pdf is a wonderful and eye-opening thinking model for Personal Safety. There are tons of articles about w

Loving-kindness Meditation

This is article describes a practical way on how to handle Business Objectives https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OGSM, PI Objectives https://www.scaledagileframework.com/pi-objectives/ and Business Value https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_value. Most of t

Maturity paths Cope level Startup level Delivery engine (Mature agile at large scale) Organisation One Solution Train Engineer at least 50% One Solution Manager at least 50% One Solution Architect at least 50% No doubt about which Agile Release Trains are

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Subtitle 140 characters Most startups are not surviving and many established companies disappears! What is the recipe for stable long-term growth? Description 200 characters This article describes the basic organisational patterns which are controlling ho

This content is not changed and communicated frequently. Thus it will not be in the automation loops.

The Stockholm Environment Institute https://www.sei-international.org is an international non-profit research organization that has worked with environment and development issues from local to global policy levels for a quarter of a century. SEI works to

Streaming content

These sources support the value driven way of running an organisation. Need to read! Title Author The Lean Startup http://a.co/92R4Qtl Eric Ries https://www.amazon.com/Eric-Ries/e/B004VIDMR0/ref=dp_byline_cont_book_1 The Innovators method http://a.co/aIjf

Maturity paths Cope level Startup level Delivery engine (full scrum) Organisation One Scrum master at least 50% One Product owner at least 50% 3 - 9 Developers 100% No doubt about who is in the team or outside as "experts" No doubt about who is or are the

What consumers truly value, however, can be difficult to pin down and psychologically complicated. How can leadership teams actively manage value or devise ways to deliver more of it, whether functional (saving time or reducing cost) or emotional (reducin

Background How transformations are done Check off I am duktig Coworkers could not care less Quality mindset Slicing is hard Introduction In 2008 I got an assignment to support a transformation of the IT service in a major city in Sweden. It was the most c

Author: Roland Smart http://rolandsmart.com/ Book page at Amazon http://a.co/2bIkuUo Assessment This book explains why Marketing and Product Development have to collaborate. The book contains a rather large portion of basic explanation of Agile. The autho

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For an organisation designer Who does not like silos and wonder how to change the organisation to be more effective This article about organisational patterns will explain the basics about silos and general advice on how to be a silo buster Unlike other w

All organisations interested in long term survival have the same core challenge - how to successfully manage the realities of today while at the same time making room for tomorrow. Failing with one of these choices will make most businesses vanish sooner

Future Proofing is essential for creating a happy and sustainable business #futurproofbusiness <Link to The need for Future Proof Business>

Subtitle How innovation could prosper in a pure operational business like customer service. Description This is a fiction based on my own observations and how I think a business should be run using tools that promotes innovative thinking. Customer Service

For managers Who do not like taking risks This article about the advantages of considering also the not obvious alternatives will explain some great exemples and give inspiration Unlike most other business articles we put together learnings from software

Compare individual learning with the collective learning you get when worshipping or training in a group of people sharing a mission. Briefly explain the AQAL-model https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integral_theory_(Ken_Wilber) and connect it to the intention

Boksidan på Amazon http://a.co/2DHjW6V Author Donald Reinertsen http://reinertsenassociates.com/about/ General judgement This book is a base for being to explain why flow optimization is important and how it can be proved. Concepts U-curve optimisation Qu

There once was a bank called Future Bank. Their size was pretty much normal and they had been around for a long time. From start it had been a Savings Bank for ordinary people, a strong tradition still serving as the base for the earnings. However as glob

There once was a bank called Future Bank. Their size was pretty much normal and they had been around for a long time. From start it had been a Savings Bank for ordinary people, a strong tradition still serving as the base for the earnings. However as glob

Even if Agile has been widely implemented on the team level, many organizations retain their habit of having experts making thorough analysis and planning. This practice lulls people into a false sense of security as they believe estimates are accurate. T

Prologue April 1899 7 Hawthorn Street, Dayton, Ohio It was the first warm day of spring. The two brothers sat on the sprawling front porch, excited over their new and innovative business endeavor. “Well Orville, what do you reckon? Should we start with fl

Ludvig Lindlöf's thesis “Visual Management – on Communication in Product Development Organizations” http://publications.lib.chalmers.se/records/fulltext/204392/204392.pdf Short version: This thesis discusses visual management as a way of improving an orga

Distributed teams are not teams; they are at best a collection of people who communicate regularly. But communication is not collaboration; it is a poor relation, feeble, and flat in comparison. A distributed team cannot create the kind of energy that com

Let us have another look at the benefits of this phenomenon “small batches”. Numerous articles that explain the benefits Everyone wants to feel secure when preparing larger investments. The prevailing and intuitive path is to have experts analyze and esti

Trine https://www.jointrine.com wants to create a world where all people have access to clean energy.

Real leaders create truly great organizations with other purposes than just making big money. Preferably purposes good for People and Planet. Some are listed here:

Truthdig http://www.truthdig.com/ is dedicated to reporting on current issues that are insufficiently covered by mainstream media. The website’s mission is to dig beneath the headlines, provide expert reporting and commentary from a progressive point of v

The u-curve is a continuous function without major steps. This allows a business to adapt the size of work packages (batches) whilst measuring the total cost and keep the organisation as constant as possible. The alternative, that unfortunately many manag

Never seen use regulatory requirement banks automotive business It is just something we have to do a cost What could happen when you include marketing silo in the entire product development flow

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Who is talking? Personal but same style How do we express ourselfs? Relaxed and fun rather than just business facts and booring Ethics? Truth, not overselling

Hi! It's great to have you onboard. Smart move. You're now officially "in the gang" ;) Our hope is that the Future Business will inspire you, motivate you, and most of all be a place where you can learn and share your thoughts. If you're serious about mak

Regulatory requirements are generally viewed as a burden by organization leaders. They issue warnings about not being compliant and give authority to specialists to drive large initiatives. I continuously ask: Are you allowed to be compliment ahead of a d

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Introduction All organizations are facing an unprecedented challenge to be able to deliver new products in what could be a totally different market situation. Business Agility can be one way forward in this uncertain lifetime. #businessagility #corona #pr

Great and practical article about social proof. HRB-article https://hbr.org/2017/01/what-you-need-to-stand-out-in-a-noisy-world by Dorie Clark https://hbr.org/search?term=dorie+clark

"This might work in other businesses, but hey this is a Bank!" or "hey this is a Hospital" or "hey this is a Food distributor" or "hey this is a <what ever>". This is a remark we have met over and over again as an explanation not being able adapt a better

It is on the basis of our most wildest guesses that we suddenly find a great solution.